IN THIS ISSUE

1. Remembering AIEQ

2. Remembering Munger and Kahneman

ONE MORE THING...

Nonsensical valuation - Hindsight bias

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Insuring Aaron Rodgers

2. RIP Daniel Kahneman

ONE MORE THING...

This is not news anymore

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Likelyhoods in the Super Bowl

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Is good news actually good news again? - Psychological shorts don’t pay the bills - Shorting is still a tough way to make a buck - Even Warren Buffett

IN THIS ISSUE

1. UPDATE: Go to Cash for 7 year… ooof

ONE MORE THING...

Market forecasting is hard - Short pain - Active vs Passive

IN THIS ISSUE

1. In 2023, pessimism was expensive (again)

ONE MORE THING...

John Henry knows better - Inflation’s tailwind - The Gas Station - PlayStation Indictor

IN THIS ISSUE

1. More investment managers should run marathons

ONE MORE THING...

Why market timing doesn’t work - It pays to wait

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Was it a good decision?

ONE MORE THING...

Law of Large Numbers Tweet Warnings - “Short and Distort” vs. “Meme Stock Mania”

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Pop-Quiz: Charting

ONE MORE THING...

Law of Large Numbers Tweet Warnings - “Short and Distort” vs. “Meme Stock Mania”

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Buying the spike

ONE MORE THING...

NFT: No Friggin’ Thanks - No, he’s not drunk

IN THIS ISSUE

1. How to underperform

ONE MORE THING...

The meme stocks are back… - The use of transitory has not *entirely* been transitory - When regulation is good

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Questions about AI in investment management

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Market timing is hard - “Don’t fight the Fed. Unless…” - “I don’t know that he has any real friends”

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Confidence, Uncertainty, and Pigeons

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The Debt Ceiling is really stupid - “Never bet against America”

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Chasing artificial performance

2. Indicators: Leading or Lagging?

ONE MORE THING...

A great quote

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Suddenly Volatile Balances (SVB)

2. Discounting noise

ONE MORE THING...

TARA, TAPAS, and TIARA - Be ‘business pickers’, not ‘stock pickers’ - We’ve heard this one before

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Inflation Expectations

2. ChatGPT learns from financial advisors

ONE MORE THING...

Hedge funds *should* like bear markets - Does shorting “work”?

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Update: Go to cash for the next 7 years?

2. Buffett vs Seides version 1.5

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Indexing and the World Cup - ARK had a rough year - Forecasting is hard - The 5 worst days - Kiyosaki is at it again - Game Theory can earn you free flights

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Kevin O’Leary: Bad investment or bad process?

2. Lesser Known Statistics: Variability

3. Not-So-Stop Losses

4. Hindsight Bias Buster

ONE MORE THING...

Keep it simple - Correlation vs causation - Is bad news actually bad again? - Justin Bieber learns the hard way - When you look at it that way…

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Elon’s Twitter

2. Paper towels and Stocks

3. Lesser Known Statistics: Bayesian Statistics

ONE MORE THING...

Bending the ARKK - Michael Burry’s hindsight

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Lesser Known Statistics: Inferential Statistics

2. Lesser Known Statistics: Subjectivity

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David Kelly on “sticky inflation” - Inflation Illusion - Nothing new here - More unLikelyhoods from Robert Kiyosaki - Crypto hedge? UnLikely - Eyeing a bottom - A counterproductive endorsement.

IN THIS ISSUE

1. Specious Statistics

2. September Selloff + Buffett Wisdom

ONE MORE THING...

Single-Bet Market? - Bill Ackman’s buy signal - Mark Spitznagel is Fed up - David Kelly sees a patient Fed